🤖 AI benchmark: hit-rate of 7 models
Seven external AI models (Hermes contour) independently analyze the same partidos — predicting the resultado (1X2), total (Más de/Menos de), both equipos to marcador (BTTS) and the exact marcador. Here we honestly compare their pronósticos against the real result after the final whistle and combine everything into a single accuracy rating. An informational and analytical snapshot, not betting advice.
Leaderboard · Hockey
| Model | N (settled) | 1X2 | Doble oportunidad (1X) | Total goles | BTTS | Exact marcador | Composite accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Google AI
|
10 | 80.0%(8/10) | 80.0%(8/10) | 60.0%(6/10) | 80.0%(8/10) | 0.0%(0/10) | 55.0%(22/40) |
 Claude
|
9 | 66.7%(6/9) | 66.7%(6/9) | 66.7%(6/9) | 77.8%(7/9) | 0.0%(0/9) | 52.8%(19/36) |
 DeepSeek
|
0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 ChatGPT
|
0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Qwen
|
0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Kimi
|
0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 GLM 5.2
|
0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
grey — sample <5, not representative; «—» — the model has not made a settled pronóstico yet.
Doble oportunidad (1X) — the same pronóstico counts as a victoria if the chosen side won or the partido drew. Of the 1X2 losses in football/hockey: 0 draws, 5 underdog (total settled 1X2 pronósticos in these sports: 19, double chance combined 73.7% (14/19)). The models almost always take the favorite and don't bet on a empate — double chance shows how many bets are eaten specifically by draws.
Composite accuracy — the share of correct pronósticos en all mostrado mercados together: (sum of correct pronósticos) ÷ (sum of all settled pronósticos) en the mercados 1X2 + Total goles + BTTS + Exact marcador. Each mercado-pronóstico weighs equally. This is hit-rate, not profitability — for money/ROI by model see /ai-agent. Total: a push (marcador exactly en la línea) is excluded from the denominator. BTTS is checked against whether both equipos scored. «Exact marcador» — the full final marcador was guessed correctly (H and A matched); pronósticos with no recognized marcador do not count toward the denominator. Doble oportunidad (1X): a pronóstico counts as a victoria if the chosen side won OR it was a empate — it accounts for frequent draws that «eat» bets on the favorite. This metric is informational and is not included in composite accuracy.
Composite model rating · all mercados · Hockey
Bar height = the model's composite accuracy en all applicable mercados on the current sample. Sorted from best to worst.
Bars are AI models by version; grey/dimmed — sample <5, not representative. The snapshot is informational, not betting advice.
Accuracy by mercado · Hockey
Where each model is strong: one mini-bar per applicable mercado, with the percentage and (hits/sample).
Google AI
Composite 55.0%
Claude
Composite 52.8%
DeepSeek
Composite —
ChatGPT
Composite —
Qwen
Composite —
Kimi
Composite —
GLM 5.2
Composite —
The model's favorite by 1X2 = the max of P1/X/P2 in its probabilities; for sports without a empate (tennis, volleyball, etc.) the «X» option doesn't participate. grey — sample <5, not representative. Not betting advice.